Gamblers World Line Moves: NFL Week 7

Early Line Moves for NFL Week 7

This week we have so many line moves in the NFL because the lookahead lines ended up being so far off compared to what numbers likely should have been that we added one more from our usual array. Please return for all these free picks on Friday.

NFL – (451) New England vs. (452) Jacksonville -5.5, Total 42.5
Sunday, October 20 – 9:30 a.m. / NFLN

Not sure how you look at this any other way. Jacksonville is 1-5 and 2-4 ATS and they have jumped from -2.5 to -5.5 against New England in the old England. Really?  Granted, the Jaguars play in London annually and twice a year with more regularity. But did anyone see an overabundance of Jacksonville jerseys at Wembley Stadium last week to have a home-field edge? Granted, the Patriots are not very good, yet, do the Jags deserve to be this big a favorite? The total moving up from 38 to 42.5 seems to work with the Patriots #25 in total defense and Jacksonville #31.

Early Bet Percentage: Jaguars 69% & 60% UNDER

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (453) Seattle at (454) Atlanta  Total 51
Sunday, October 20 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

Things change quickly in the NFL. Three weeks ago, rookie head coach Mike McDonald was lauded for energizing the Seattle franchise with a 3-0 start, with the defense allowing 14.3 PPG. Since, the Seahawks faced some stiffer competition and are 0-3, surrendering 35.6 PPG. With Atlanta’s offense suddenly on fire in scoring 36 and 38 points in their past two outings, the total flew upward like the rockets from Space X to 51, after starting on the ground at 47.5. In these clubs’ last three contests, they are a combined 6-0 OVER. Will that continue?

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 93%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (457) Cincinnati at (458) Cleveland  +6.5, Total 42
Sunday, October 20 – 1:00 p.m. ET / CBS

Though anyone can debate just how good Amare Cooper is at age 30, Cleveland trading him to Buffalo looks like the first white flag from the Browns organization with whom they have a quarterback. The betting numbers tell the story as Cincinnati has been buffed up three points as a road favorite, on the road no less to their in-state rival. That line movement had nothing to do with the Bengals less than impressive 17-7 win in New Jersey. The same would be said about a sinking total to 42, after opening at 45.5. What an indictment against Deshaun Watson and the state of the Browns.

Early Bet Percentage: Bengals 87% & UNDER 66%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (467) Las Vegas at (468) L.A Rams  -7
Sunday, October 20 – 4:05 p.m. ET / CBS

Here is another massive line move that NFL bettors could not resist, playing against the Raiders. Las Vegas might have two QBs on their roster, but if you take the sum of those parts and compare them collectively to Matthew Stafford, that’s a mismatch. The same goes for the head coaching spot, with L.A. having Sean McVay dueling with Antonio Pierce. Little wonder the Rams have pushed their way from a field goal home favorite to a touchdown choice.

Early Bet Percentage: Rams 90%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (469) Washington at (470) Carolina  Total 51.5
Sunday, October 20 – 4:05 p.m. ET / CBS

The last two top quarterbacks taken in the past two years are in this matchup, having been chosen to alter the direction of their franchises. One has worked out and the other has not and that explains why Washington is 4-2 and Carolina is 1-5. Barring a last-minute decision from the Panthers, Bryce Young will have an ear plug to listen on the sidelines, while Jayden Daniels will run the Commanders offense. With Washington’s ability to score and allow points and Carolina having the worst scoring defense in the NFL, the total adjusted four points upward to 51.5. These NFC squads are both 5-1 OVER heading into this affair.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 71%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (477) L.A. Chargers at (478) Arizona +2.5
Monday, October 21 – 9:00 p.m. ET / ESPN+

The Chargers were three-point road favorites at Denver, which felt high since the Broncos had won three straight. The Bolts ran off to a 23-0 lead before coasting to a seven-point triumph. L.A. opened as a Pick on the desert last week, but after how both played on Sunday, the Cardinals are a 2.5-point home underdog. Slowly but surely the Chargers are taking on the look and feel of their head coach Jim Harbaugh, while Arizona continues to beat themselves. Case in point, the Bolts have two turnovers this season, and the Redbirds have eight.

Early Bet Percentage: Chargers 90%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

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