Gamblers World Line Moves: College Football Week 10

College Football Week 10 Early Lines Moves

We head into crunch time for college football, the month of November. This is where dreams are made or dashed and we scoured the college football card at the start of the week for the largest early line moves. Always remember to return on Friday for all the free picks (35-25).

CFB – (325) Old Dominion at (326) App. State +2.5
Saturday, November 2  – 2:30 p.m. ET / ESPN+

After an 0-3 start, two against Power 4 conference teams, Old Dominion used the tough slate to build scar tissue and has rattled off three straight wins and covers to reach a first-place tie with Georgia Southern in the Sun Belt East, having just gouged them 47-19. App. State got back in the win column against Georgia State 33-26 to end a trio of setbacks for what’s been a disappointing year at 3-4. The Mountaineers were sent as a -2 home favorite, but mostly sharp money has made the Monarchs a 2.5-point favorite. Defense is the difference between these SBC foes lately, with ODU allowing 15.7 PPG and App State at 37.3 PPG.

Early Bet Percentage: Old Dominion 68%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated App. State -2.5 – Back Friday

CFB – (345) Northwestern at (345) Purdue +1.5
Saturday, November 2 –12:00 p.m. ET / BTN

It’s been a rough year for both these Big Ten partners, especially Purdue at 1-6. The Boilermakers are being outscored by 18.1 PPG due in part to scoring only 30.3 PPG which is #119. Though Northwestern has the better record and still has a shot at a bowl at 3-5, they are even worse offensively at 18.4 PPG (#123). Nonetheless, the Wildcats point differential is only -3.7 PPG because of better defense and they were flipped from +1 to -1.5. The ‘Cats are 6-3 SU and ATS vs. the Boilers of late.

Early Bet Percentage: Northwestern 76%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Purdue -2  – Back Friday

CFB – (347) Minnesota at Illinois (348) +2.5
Saturday, November 2 – 12:00 p.m. ET / FS1

Illinois was not a match for #1 Oregon at Eugene, as the Ducks after building up a 35-3 lead at halftime, waddled to a 38-9 thumping. The Fighting Illini had several players leave the game and did not return, but early undocumented reports have most likely playing this week. If that information turns out true, that makes Minnesota moving from +1.5 to -2.5 point road favorite even more puzzling. The Golden Gophers are 5-3, on a three-game conference win streak and they like to play physical football. Maybe the Illini are coming back to earth as their defense has permitted over 500 yards in two of their last three outings and QB Luke Altmyer has just 241 yards passing the last two games, after averaging 242 YPG

Early Bet Percentage: Illinois 59%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Illinois -3 – Back Friday

CFB – (363) Arizona State at (364) Oklahoma State +1
Saturday, November 2 – 7:00 p.m. ET / FS1

After a bit of a shaky 3-0 start, Oklahoma State has dropped five in a row. A massive issue is a defense that is #102 in points allowed and next to last in college football at this level in total defense. Many thought Arizona State would be among the teams closest to the bottom of the Big 12 this but at 5-2 overall, a victory in Stillwater sends them bowling, with maybe a better destination if they keep winning. This is our third consecutive ‘flipper’ with the Sun Devils at -1 after being released at +1. With ASU off a bye and the better defensive club, they’ll have a shot.

Early Bet Percentage: Oklahoma State 60%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated, Okla. State -2.5 – Back Friday

CFB – (397) Ohio State at (398) Penn State  Total 46.5
Saturday, October 26 – 12:00 p.m. ET / FOX

With the exact status of Penn State starting QB Drew Allar unknown after leaving the Nittany Lions 28-13 triumph at Wisconsin in the first half, there is an uneasiness in State College. We found it intriguing the total would slip from 48 to 46.5, but the side ever so slightly with Penn State at +4 compared to +3.5 early last week. These two highly ranked squads are 6-2 UNDER in recent battles, will it be more of the same?

Early Bet Percentage: Over 60%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total 48 – Back Friday

Get more college football betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.