Gamblers World Line Moves: NFL Week 10

Early Line Moves for NFL Week 10

The second half of the NFL regular season commences this week and we have fewer line moves and not as much volatility. Make certain to read what is happening in line moves this week and return on Friday for the updates and free picks that are 19-9 the last month.

NFL – (261) N.Y. Giants vs. (262) Carolina +5
Sunday, November 10 – 9:30 a.m. / NFLN

Though Carolina was outgained by 181 yards and lost the turnover battle to New Orleans, they came from behind to upset New Orleans 23-22. That gave the Panthers the same 2-7 record as their Sunday opponent in Germany, the New York Football Giants. Though Big Blue is hardly impressive, they have been moved from -3.5 to -5 against the Panthers. Statistically, this works for New York in almost all facets and they commit fewer turnovers. But who’s crazy about giving this many points with the G-Men?

Early Bet Percentage: Giants 66%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Giants -6 – Back Friday

NFL – (263) Buffalo at (264) Indianapolis  Total 46
Sunday, November 10 – 1:00 p.m. ET / CBS

Now what does Indianapolis do after Joe Flacco looked and played like his age at Minnesota? Reports have the Colts sticking with Flacco. Indy should be encouraged about running the ball after Buffalo was continuously gouged for 149 rushing yards at home by Miami. NFL bettors are not convinced the Colts will regularly score points and dropped the total two points to 46. With Buffalo’s offense scoring 95 points in their last three outings, what team is more likely to dictate the tempo in this AFC get-together?

Early Bet Percentage: UNDER 75%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total 45.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (269) Atlanta at (270) New Orleans +3.5
Sunday, November 10 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

On a seven-game losing streak after an exciting 2-0 start, New Orleans ownership had seen enough of coach Dennis Allen and fired him. The Saints also suffered several injuries in their disgusting loss to Carolina and the status of several players is up in the air as of Tuesday afternoon. Despite less than overwhelming public opinion on the NFC South showdown, the Falcons have flown from a Pick to -3.5. We will watch how this plays out but obviously, nobody early is looking for a positive bump on the Saints with a coaching change.

Early Bet Percentage: Falcons 61%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Falcons -1.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (273) San Francisco at (274) Tampa Bay  Total 51
Sunday, November 10 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

In the first part of the week, this conflict was far and away the biggest line movement on totals, with this NFC battle jumping from 47.5 to 51 points. Baker Mayfield showed Monday he can still make plays when lacking stars on the perimeter. What sets the table for Tampa Bay is their #10 rushing offense. As long as they stay in the game, the Buccaneers can commit to the run which opens up the pass. If it turns out true the Bucs can score, their defense is #30 in total defense and #28 in points allowed. San Francisco coming off a bye week should be refreshed and be able to take advantage of Tampa Bay’s stop troops.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 88%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total 52 – Back Friday

NFL – (281) N.Y. Jets at (282) Arizona  Total 46
Sunday, November 10 – 4:25 p.m. ET / CBS

The Jets still think they can reach the playoffs, while Arizona is in first place in the NFC West, neither of those two things make sense. Where the early betting action is on this nonconference clash is the total, lifted from 44 to 46. This could be a function of one clear edge the Cardinals have. The Redbirds are #7 in rushing as RB James Conner always runs hard and QB Kyler Murray adds the wild card element. Though Gang Green is #4 in total defense, they permit 132 yards rushing a game (#21). New York has given up 25 PPG in their last three skirmishes, which opens the door to thinking more points could be scored.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 89%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total 49 – Back Friday

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