College Football Week 14 Early Lines Moves
Strangely, either all or almost every college football total was spot on, or most bettors were focused on sides by Monday afternoon because we didn’t have any big totals line moves for the first time all season. Because this updated article isn’t published until Friday afternoon, we won’t list any Black Friday games listed. See you Friday with updates as we look to better our Free Picks record of 49-35 ATS.
CFB – (343) TCU at (344) Cincinnati +3
Saturday, November 30 – 6:00 p.m. ET / ESPN+
With TCU 4-1 SU down the stretch and Cincinnati stumbling and bumbling to become bowl-eligible, the Horned Frogs have jumped from -1.5 to -3 point Big 12 road favorites. Since beating Arizona State at home 24-14, the Bearcats defense has been gashed for 35 PPG. TCU’s offense has hit its stride in their past four outings averaging 39 PPG. Will Cincy become bowl-eligible on its fifth straight try?
Early Bet Percentage: TCU 75%
Doug’s Pick – Power Rated TCU -5 – Back Friday
CFB – (349) Pittsburgh at (350) Boston College -5
Saturday, November 30 – 3:00 p.m. ET / CW Network
Pittsburgh is in free fall. After a shocking 7-0 start, the Panthers have dropped four in a row. If Pitt were 7-4 coming into their final regular contest with a mixture of wins and losses during the season, nobody would have given it a thought. But with two distinctly different streaks, football bettors moved Pittsburgh from +2.5 to +5 road underdog in Chestnut Hill. Boston College is on a 4-0 ATS move (2-2 SU), having played both Louisville and SMU tough. B.C. is 6-0 ATS after outrushing the opponent by 125 or more yards last game.
Early Bet Percentage: Boston College 84%
Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Boston College -2.5 – Back Friday
CFB – (353) Florida at (354) Florida State +15
Saturday, November 30 – 7:00 p.m. ET / ESPN2
Well, the good news for Florida State; they finally won another game, crushing Charleston Southern last Saturday 41-7. As you might imagine the betting public was WAY more impressed with Florida upsetting highly ranked Ole Miss in Gainesville and that has the Gators crawling from -13 to -15. Florida is 5-6 and 6-5 ATS this century in Tallahassee and they have edges across the board on the field. Nonetheless, this still feels like a big number.
Early Bet Percentage: Florida 71%
Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Florida -14.5 – Back Friday
CFB – (391) Houston at (392) BYU -13
Saturday, November 30 – 10:15 p.m. ET / ESPN
After losing consecutive games, BYU not only has to defeat Houston but get some help from who Arizona State and Iowa State are playing to make the Big 12 title tilt. The Cougars’ offense has cratered in averaging 19.3 PPG in their last three, which is almost half of what they scored in their previous half-dozen starts. Even with these issues, BYU still has ample support to go from -11.5 to -13 against Houston. The Cougars are in a rebuild and though the defense has done a good job in holding opposing clubs to 22.3 PPG, their offense is the worst in college football at 13.6 PPG. Yet, with BYU’s offensive woes, can they cover this large a figure?
Early Bet Percentage: BYU 71%
Doug’s Pick – Power Rated BYU -11 – Back Friday
CFB – (413) Texas at (414) Texas A&M +6
Saturday, November 30 – 7:00 p.m. ET / ABC
The lookahead line had Texas a -4.5 and that was raised to -6 despite reports circulating that Texas QB Quinn Ewers suffered an ankle injury versus Kentucky. Ewers appeared hampered after the second quarter injury and an MRI revealed a sprain, but not a bad one. With Georgia winning any tiebreakers in the SEC and advancing to the conference championship, this renewed rivalry is an elimination game for who the Bulldogs will play. After their triple OT loss at Auburn, Texas A&M at 8-3 probably has to win this week and next to assure a playoff bid.
Early Bet Percentage: Texas 52%
Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Texas -10 – Back Friday
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