Gamblers World Line Moves: NFL Week 14

Early Line Moves for NFL Week 14

NFL players on teams in contention to make the playoffs frequently talk about the season starting after Thanksgiving. For NFL bettors, we start Week 1 and now make our push for exceptional profits. Read this week’s Line Moves and return for the free picks (29-20 L8 weeks) and more.

NFL – (129) Cleveland at (130) Pittsburgh Total 44
Sunday, December 8 – 1:00 p.m. / CBS

The total was elevated significantly from 40.5 to 44 after Cleveland’s Monday shootout with Denver. The number reason? Jameis Winston, who can help both teams raise their score as we witnessed in Monday’s incredible (referring to good and bad) performance. Let’s also not lose sight of how overrated the Browns’ defense is. Cleveland is 8-1 OVER playing against a team with a winning record on the road.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 87%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 43 – Back Friday

NFL – (135) Seattle at (136) Arizona Total 44.5
Sunday, December 8 – 4:05 p.m. ET / CBS

In the NFC West, this skirmish feels like a must-win for both clubs. For Arizona, to get back into a tie with Seattle for first place and the Seahawks attempting to open more distance in the division. Pro football bettors are more focused on the total, lowering it by two points to 44.5. An interesting take by the oddsmakers, who made the number the same as the closing line between these clubs two weeks ago at 46.5, which the Seahawks won 16-6. The Cardinals are on a 5-1-2 UNDER run and Seattle is 5-1 UNDER of late.

Early Bet Percentage: UNDER 61%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 45 – Back Friday

NFL – (139) Chicago at (140) San Francisco -4
Sunday, December 8 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

Chicago has lost six in a row and fired their head coach after the Bears’ Thanksgiving debacle in Detroit. San Francisco is all but out of the playoff race at 5-7, having dropped their past three outings by a combined score of 93-37. With running backs Christian McCaffery and Jordan Mason done for the season, those placing bets have more faith in the Bears at this juncture, as they have tumbled from +6 to +4. Somebody will get in the win column on Sunday, but who feels good about backing either club?

Early Bet Percentage: Bears 83%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated San Francisco -2.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (141) L.A. Chargers at (142) Kansas City -4
Sunday, December 8 – 8:20 p.m. ET / NBC

Kansas City might have the best record in the NFL at 11-1, but more serious fans wonder if they are like a cat (Chiefs in this case) that has nine lives. Kansas City at best has one left for this season, if that. Though Andy Reid’s team was scuffling at the point last year, they were just getting beat not pulling out inconceivable victories. The sense is K.C. will run out of luck at some points and the Chiefs are down to -4 at home against the L.A. Chargers after opening at -5.5. With Kansas City not having a high-powered offense, the league’s #1 scoring defense from L.A. will look to contain and possibly upset their rival.

Early Bet Percentage: Chargers 64%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Kansas City -3 – Back Friday

NFL – (143) Cincinnati at (144) Dallas  Total 49.5
Monday, December 9 – 8:15 p.m. ET / ABC/ESPN

From a record perspective, this is not a particularly good nonconference clash, nevertheless, it sure feels like we could have a repeat of last Monday’s wild shootout. This conflict opened at 44.5 and has zoomed to 49. What’s fun to think about is this line movement is all public-driven, with 90 percent of the tickets on the Over, while the money is on the Under. It’s hard not to think we won’t have scoring with these teams #26 and #27 in total defense and Dallas #29 in points allowed with Cincinnati #31.

Early Bet Percentage: 61% OVER

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 53 – Back Friday

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