Best NFL Prop Bets for Week 13

Welcome to our guide to NFL Week 13 player props! We analyze the most enticing player prop bets and come up with our top free picks for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and first TD scorer. With the regular season entering its final stretch, there are ton of solid betting opportunities in Week 13.

Quarterbacks: Finding Value in Passing Yards

When it comes to NFL player props, one of the most popular categories is passing yards for quarterbacks. This week, we have identified our top prop pick for a quarterback who has a favorable matchup and should exceed his projected passing yard totals.

Brock Purdy – Over 245.5 yards passing (FanDuel)

My top quarterback prop pick for Week 13 is Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers. Despite facing a tough opponent in the Philadelphia Eagles, Purdy has a strong supporting cast with weapons like Deebo Samuel, Christian MCCaffrey and George Kittle and and the potential to exploit the Eagles’ vulnerable pass defense. The Eagles rank 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game and have struggled against opposing quarterbacks all season. Purdy’s recent form, coupled with the Eagles’ defensive weaknesses, make him a prime candidate to surpass his projected passing yard total of 254.5.

Running Backs: Capitalizing on Favorable Matchups

Jerome Ford – Over 49.5 yards rushing (DraftKings)

Jerome Ford of the Cleveland Browns is by far our top RB of the week to bet on. Ford has been productive in recent games, averaging 7.2 yards per carry. With Dorian Thompson-Robinson in concussion protocol, Joe Flacco will to start this week at QB for Cleveland. Ford could have an opportunity to shine as it’s obvious the Browns will be running the ball . . . alot! The Rams D is not as fearsome as in previous seasons and they rank 16th overall, yielding 116 yard per game on the ground, a favorable matchup for the Browns running game. If the odds are in his favor, Ford could be a valuable bet to exceed his projected rushing yard total.

Wide Receivers: Analyzing Target Share and Game Script

Diontae Johnson – Under 47.5 Receiving Yards

Diontae Johnson of the Pittsburgh Steelers has been a consistent performer this season. However, recent distractions and a potential shift in game plan could impact his performance. With Najee Harris expected to receive more carries, Johnson’s target share may decrease further than the previous 3 games, where he only had a total of 20 targets and just 7 catches. One catch vs the Packers in week 10 and two vs the Browns in Week 11 don’t instill much confidence in Johnson getting touches this week. The Cardinals allow 26.8 points and a whopping 140.1 rushing yards per game. The script for Pittsburgh will be to pound the Cardinals into submission leaving the #2 receiver, Johnson as the odd man out.

FIRST TD SCORER

Sam Laporta – +170 Anytime, +900 First TD (Pointsbet)

Detroit’s Sam LaPorta has turned heads so far in his rookie season. He averages seven targets per game, 9.8 yards per reception and five receptions per game. LaPorta rebounded from tough Week 11 performance vs Chicago with a great game against the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving, catching five balls for 47 yards and his fifth touchdown of the year. New Orleans defends well against wide receivers, yet have allowed the most touchdowns per game to the tight end position this season. LaPorta has six receptions for three TDs in nine targets in the Red Zone from QB Jared Goff. At 9-1, we really like this for first TD scorer in Week 13. +170 for an anytime touchdown looks like easy money as well.

Analyzing player props can provide an exciting and profitable betting opportunity every week in the NFL. Consider quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers with favorable matchups and understand the game script to make informed decisions and cash some tickets.

Remember to shop for the best odds across different sportsbooks to maximize your potential returns. Good luck with your Week 13 NFL player props and all of your NFL bets this weekend!