Gamblers World Line Moves: College Football Week 12

College Football Week 12 Early Lines Moves

The early line moves for this week are mostly focused on – under the radar – games with one exception. It would seem the oddsmakers did a very good job, which explains the lack of noise to start the week. Make sure to return on Friday for the free picks that are 42-29 ATS (59.1%) on the season.

CFB – (329) Florida Atlantic at (330) Temple  -2.5
Saturday, November 16 – 2:00 p.m. ET / ESPN+

It seems peculiar this AAC clash would draw enough betting attention to move the point spread but it has. This pair of 2-7 squads should only draw flies from the stink, but instead, Temple went from -1 to -2.5 in this battle of Owls. In reviewing the stats, there’s not much to go with and it is impossible to believe FAU coach Tom Herman was considered one the best young and upcoming coaches in college football at Houston and hired and later fired by Texas. Now, Herman is failing here in his second year. Maybe Herman at 1-5 ATS in November is a good enough reason to support Temple.

Early Bet Percentage: Temple 69%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Temple -1   – Back Friday

CFB – (337) South Florida at (338) Charlotte  Total 53
Saturday, November 16 – 3:30 p.m. ET / ESPN+

With games like this, it doesn’t take much money to move a total. It could be one person the sportsbooks respect putting a decent amount of cash on the total to shift the number from 51.5 to 53. We have no way of knowing this is true but it would make sense with two teams fighting to reach .500 to become bowl eligible. Charlotte is 6-3 OVER compared to South Florida at 5-3-1 UNDER. However, we did uncover the Bulls are 5-0 OVER this month on the road since 2022.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 55%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 50  – Back Friday

CFB – (341) Louisiana Tech at (342) Western Kentucky  Total 53
Saturday, November 16 – 12:00 p.m. ET / CBSSN

Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State remain unbeaten in Conference USA play and might meet in back-to-back games since they face each other in their final regular season confrontation. First, each team needs to keep posting W’s. The Hilltoppers are known for their offense, but not so much this season. There is nothing wrong with averaging 30.3 PPG but this program is typically on either side of 40 PPG. Just the fact this total was lifted two points to 53 says something. It should not go unnoticed the average total score of a Louisiana Tech game is only 45.7.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 57%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 52 – Back Friday

CFB – (347) Clemson at (348) Pittsburgh  Total 54
Saturday, November 16 – 12:00 p.m. ET / ESPN

This is Clemson’s last ACC game and their chance to play for the conference championship even with a victory is out of their control. Still, the Tigers want to finish 10-2 and make this the best possible season. Pittsburgh wasn’t garnering much attention despite starting 7-0, but the last two weeks have shown why that was correct, losing by 23 at SMU and coming home and failing to ignite in falling to Virginia 24-19. After looking so sharp offensively, the Panthers have scored 25 points or less in three of their last four outings, The Tigers’ offense has also been inept the past two weeks at 21 and 24 points. With these general trends, the total has dipped from 56 to 54 points.

Early Bet Percentage: UNDER 56%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 53 – Back Friday

CFB – (351) Arkansas State at (352) Georgia State -2
Saturday, November 16 – 5:00 p.m. ET / ESPN+

Arkansas State was blown out by Louisiana 55-19 last week, but still has three more chances to be bowl-eligible and have a winning record in the regular season. The Red Wolves are 5-4, yet were flipped from a -1 to +2 point underdog at Georgia State. The Panthers are 2-7 and winless in the Sun Belt, yet, was made a favorite. We searched for an Arky State quarterback injury and did not come across one. This like many SBC contests is lightly bet, so someone who thinks they know something must have plunked down Panthers’ money.

Early Bet Percentage: Georgia State 60%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Arkansas State -2  – Back Friday

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