Gamblers World Line Moves: College Football Week 13

College Football Week 13 Early Lines Moves

For the first time in several weeks, we have more sides than totals for line moves in college football. Trying to guess why is purely speculation. What isn’t an opinion is our Free Picks record at 47-31 ATS (60.2%) and these will be back on Friday along with all the updates.

CFB – (129) Wake Forest at (130) Miami-FL  Total 64.5
Saturday, November 23 – 12:00 p.m. ET / ESPN

Since losing to Georgia Tech, Miami has tried to figure out how to improve its defense, which is permitting 31.7 PPG in ACC action. The Hurricanes still control their destiny to reach the ACC title game if they win this week and next week at Syracuse. With Miami favored by a chalky -24 points, not many think the Canes will falter, but the total has drifted southward by three points to 64.5. With the Demon Deacons allowing 35.2 PPG in conference play and Miami averaging 45 PPG, it’s safe to assume QB Cam Ward and company will score in the 40s. The deciding factor is how many points Wake Forest will ring up.

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 55%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rating Total of 66 – Back Friday

CFB – (135) North Carolina at (136) Boston College +3.5
Saturday, November 23 – 12:00 p.m. ET / CW Network

After losing four in a row, UNC veteran coach Mack Brown asked his players if he should step aside, feeling terrible. The players said “no” and North Carolina improved on defense in particular and has taken three straight. After a 4-1 start, Boston College has lost four of five, all in the ACC, and needs a win for a bowl berth at 5-5. Football bettors aren’t sure if the Eagles can secure a ‘W’ and lift them from +1 to +3.5 point home underdogs. Interesting to note, the Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS after three consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers.

Early Bet Percentage: North Carolina 65%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rating North Carolina -3 – Back Friday

CFB – (149) Tulsa at (150) South Florida  Total 61
Saturday, November 23 – 3:30 p.m. ET / ESPN+

By winning three of four, if South Florida emerges victorious this week, they will be 6-5 and bowl-eligible. Tulsa at 3-7 will not play in the postseason for the seventh time in eight years. With the Golden Hurricane surrendering better than 38 PPG and USF past 28 PPG, the total jumped from 59 to 61 points. In each squad’s past three outings, Tulsa’s average total score is 78 points and the Bulls are at 61. These AAC foes have played three consecutive OVERs, will this be another?

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 64%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rating Total of 63 – Back Friday

CFB – (171) Iowa State at (172) Utah +6.5
Saturday, November 23 – 7:30 p.m. ET / FOX

Utah was the preseason favorite to win the Big 12 in their first year. But the Utes have gone through a brutal quarterback situation and have not found an answer, falling six straight times (1-5 ATS) and might not even reach a bowl game. Iowa State was not highly thought of this upcoming season. A stunning 7-0 start caught everyone off guard. Sloppy losses to Texas Tech and Kansas derailed a great season, but polishing off Cincinnati restored order for the Cyclones. Those betting on college football have shoved ISU from -5 to -6.5 figuring Utah doesn’t have much to play for even on Senior Day.

Early Bet Percentage: Iowa State 74%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rating Iowa State -7 – Back Friday

CFB – (221) Army vs. (222) Notre Dame -14
Saturday, November 23 – 7:00 p.m. ET / NBC

This is a trip down memory lane for older fans. These two played annually from 1919 to 1947 and combined to win six national championships in the 1940s. (N.D. 4 & Army 2) The Black Knights are 9-0 for the first time in 75 years under the remarkable leadership of coach Jeff Monken, who proved you can win at Army. Notre Dame is 9-1 and one of the Top 6 teams in the country and they need two wins to reach a tournament berth, which Army is also playing for. Amazingly, sharp money has pushed the underdog from +17 to +14 for this matchup at Yankee Stadium.

Early Bet Percentage: Notre Dame 63%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rating Notre Dame -15 – Back Friday

Get more college football betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.