Gamblers World Line Moves: College Football Week 6

College Football Week 6 Early Lines Moves

We move ahead to October, full speed ahead with conference action ready to heat up. Here are the biggest early line moves for college football to begin a new week. This week’s line moves include several growing home underdogs. Return on Friday to view all the Free Picks that have done well at 19-14.

CFB – (317) East Carolina at (318) Charlotte +9
Saturday, October 5 – 3:30 p.m. ET / ESPNU

In this AAC clash, East Carolina has climbed from -7.5 to -9. Both squads won last week, lifting ECU to 3-2 and Charlotte to 2-3. The Pirates are good at stealing the football with 13 forced turnovers, yet, they are also too generous, with 16 miscues of their own. Charlotte is weak on offense at only 17.7 PPG (#120), while ECU is a run-of-the-mill 27 PPG. The visiting Pirates also have a big edge on defense, holding opponents to 18.6 PPG, with the 49ers at 33.2 PPG allowed. If Charlotte can force East Carolina turnovers, they can stay in this matchup.

Early Bet Percentage: Charlotte 80%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (331) Western Michigan at (332) Ball State +9
Saturday, October 5 – 2:00 p.m. ET / ESPN+

Even though we are only one-third through the season for most teams, Western Michigan and Ball State are 1-3 and have work to do to become bowl-eligible. Those betting on college football have shown an inclination preference toward the Broncos, moving them from -7.5 to -9. Both squads have faced some rugged competition and have given up numerous points, with the Cardinals at 49 PPG and WMU at 35.5 PPG. Offensively, Western Michigan is the modestly better club in points (23.3 vs. 20.8) and yardage (343 vs 308) per game. The SU winner is 5-0 and 4-1 ATS, but the last time Ball State was this large a home underdog to the Broncos at home, they won and covered in 2018.

Early Bet Percentage: Ball State 80%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (363) Virginia Tech at (364) Stanford +9.5, Total 50
Saturday, October 5 – 3:30 p.m. ET / ACCN

Stanford will be pleased to be home after consecutive trips to the Eastern time zone, now playing in the ACC. The Cardinal face Virginia Tech, whose emotional state is unknown after thinking they upset Miami was taken away on a reversed call. Sportsbooks are receiving mostly Stanford money, but it’s the Hokies who have gone from -7 to -9.5. The total is also on the move, lowered from 53 to 50. Virginia Tech has a quality run game at 192 YPG. Nonetheless, the Cardinal are stout against the run at #8 (but poor against the pass – #124), permitting 76.2 YPG. It seems, if both teams can have enough success running the pigskin, the total is headed in the right direction.

Early Bet Percentage: Stanford 62% & UNDER 80%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (377) Temple at (378) Connecticut -16
Saturday, October 5 – 3:30 p.m. ET / CBSSN

While UConn football remains without a conference home or willing to put in the resources needed, veteran coach Jim Mora Jr. has the Huskies at .500 (3-1 ATS) and looking to return to a bowl game. Connecticut opened as a two-touchdown home favorite and was bumped to -16.5 versus Temple. The Owls are in for another long losing season at 1-4 (2-3 ATS), being outscored by 19 PPG. These former conference rivals have not met in five years and even with Temple 3-9 ATS as road dog recently, UConn has not been this large a favorite in over a decade.

Early Bet Percentage: Connecticut 90+%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (381) James Madison at (382) UL-Monroe +16.5
Saturday, October 5 – 7:00 p.m. ET / ESPNU

James Madison lost their head coach and all but eight starters including their quarterback, yet, here they are at 4-0 (3-1 ATS), having tallied 137 points in their past two ball games. And on the topic of surprises, UL-Monroe is 3-1 SU and ATS despite ranking #114 in scoring and #129 in total offense. The Warhawks have held three less than potent offenses (Jackson State, UAB and Troy) to 29 points after Texas gashed them for 51. James Madison can score and was bumped two points to -16.5. The Dukes are 7-2 ATS as road favorites and 5-0 as away faves when the total is between 42.5 and 49.

Early Bet Percentage: James Madison 90+%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

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