Gamblers World Line Moves: NFL Week 13

Early Line Moves for NFL Week 13

It’s Thanksgiving weekend straight ahead and the NFL is a big part of the festivities. With a full slate of 16 games, for Line Moves we are dialed into the Sunday/Monday action. Return on Black Friday for all the updates and freebies. (25-19 L7 weeks).

NFL – (461) Tennessee at (462) Washington -5.5
Sunday, December 1 – 1:00 p.m. / CBS

After a completely unexpected start at 7-2, Washington has regressed with three consecutive defeats. While some say Jaylen Daniels is regressing, from this spot, he looks more physically worn down and is finding NFL defensive coordinators are diabolical with what he is seeing today compared to a month ago. Tennessee thoroughly outplayed Houston on the road last week in the upset and QB Will Levis finally had a game with more positives than negatives. Early influential football bettors are souring on the Commanders a bit, which helped support dropping them from -7 to -5.5. We’re curious where this goes closer to game time.

Early Bet Percentage: Commanders 53%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Washington -7.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (469) Houston at (470) Jacksonville +5
Sunday, December 1 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

Jacksonville returns from its bye week and the status quo has remained. The Jaguars are 3-14 since last season’s collapse. Trevor Lawrence is incredibly inconsistent, the Jaguars are last in the NFL in pre-snap motion which makes their offense easier to read and they are #32 in the NFL in passing yards allowed. Even with all this negativity, Jacksonville has slid two points to +5 against rival Houston. The Texans’ offensive line has C.J. Stroud spooked and the defense might rank #5 in yards surrendered, but they are #15 in points allowed. But who feels comfortable backing the Jags?

Early Bet Percentage: Texans 55%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Houston -1.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (471) Arizona at (472) Minnesota  Total 45
Sunday, December 1 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

This is a big game for both these NFC teams. As great and dominant as Detroit has played, Minnesota is just one game behind in the NFC North standings and is lurking. Arizona lost at Seattle last Sunday and those two are tied atop the NFC West. The lookahead line opened at 48 and despite two-thirds of the money and nearly the same amount of bets on the Over, the total as of Tuesday afternoon is 45. The Cardinals have played three straight Unders and the Vikings are 3-1 Under in their four-game win streak. Does 45 points stick or go back up?

Early Bet Percentage: OVER 67%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Total of 44 – Back Friday

NFL – (473) Seattle at (474) N.Y. Jets +2
Sunday, December 1 – 8:20 p.m. ET / FOX

If any team had a more appropriate alternative nickname, it’s the New York Jets. This club is often referred as “Gang Green” and this seems right for a club that has spoiled fans’ expectations at an unsightly 3-8 SU and ATS. The Jets owner would probably fire everyone if he could, but that’s not possible. Seattle is tied for first place in the NFC West after their victory over Arizona and that has NFL bettors pounding them. The Seahawks have been flipped from +1 to -2 over the Flyboys. The Jets team has shown little gumption, will they this week?

Early Bet Percentage: Seahawks 82%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Seattle -1.5 – Back Friday

NFL – (483) Cleveland at (484) Denver -5.5
Monday, December 2 – 8:15 p.m. ET / ESPN

Denver continues its trajectory toward the playoffs and they have a Monday game to show who they are this week at 7-5. Cleveland is 3-8 but showed a lot of heart in knocking off Pittsburgh in the snow and Jameis Winston has added juice to the Browns offense and gives them a chance to win, something the previous quarterback did not. With how the Broncos have played, it’s a bit of a mystery why they were taken from -7.5 to -5.5. What do the oddsmakers know?

Early Bet Percentage: Broncos 60%

Doug’s Pick – Power Rated Denver -7.5 – Back Friday

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