Gamblers World Line Moves: NFL Week 2

Early Line Moves for NFL Week 2

Favorites were 13-3 and 9-7 ATS to start a new season. What might this week hold? ALL Free Picks will come on Friday’s update edition.

NFL – (269) Tampa Bay at (270) Detroit  Total 51.5
Sunday, September 15 – 1:00 p.m. ET / FOX

Both offenses looked good last week in winning. It is hard to say who looked better because facing the L.A. Rams as Detroit did is a greater challenge compared to Tampa Bay taking on Washington. Regardless, NFL bettors are backing the higher score in the NFC encounter (as you can see by the big percentage) and lifted the total from 48.5 to 51.5. The Lions allowing 387 yards to a limited Rams offense because of injury also has to factor into the thinking. Will Detroit at 9-3 OVER when a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points turn out true?

Early Bet Percentage: 93% OVER

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (283) L.A. Rams at (284) Arizona -1.5
Sunday, September 15 – 4:05 p.m. ET / FOX

Both these NFC West rivals lost their opener and both had a chance to emerge with a victory, with the defenses failing at clutch time. One squad will start 0-2 and Arizona has been flipped from +2 to -1.5 point home favorite. If you are wondering why, even going into last week coach Sean McVay was concerned about his battered offensive line offering Mathew Stafford protection. With more injuries to that group and WR Puka Nacua now on the IL, L.A. playing a second consecutive road game is a tough task.

Early Bet Percentage: Arizona 73%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (285) Cincinnati at (286) Kansas City -6
Sunday, September 15– 4:25 p.m. ET / CBS

The calamity Cincinnati caused in Ohio was bad enough in being upset by New England, but the nationwide damage they did to Survivor Pools was far worse. Though the Bengals are/were considered a contender to Kansas City in the AFC, one item that slipped through the cracks is the always frugal (some say cheap) Cincinnati ownership allowed 12 rookies to make the roster, presumably to save money. The Chiefs are the Chiefs until proven otherwise and they were slammed from -3.5 to -6 point favorites this week. Given the Bengals’ early season struggles the last few years, this makes sense, but will this number hold up with K.C. 5-5 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less?

Early Bet Percentage: Kansas City 72%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (289) Chicago at (290) Houston -7
Sunday, September 15 – 8:20 p.m. ET / NBC

The thinking for this primetime skirmish had to be C. J. Stroud vs. Caleb Williams for what seems like two up-and-coming teams. After watching both QBs play Sunday, football bettors are decisively choosing the former with Stroud and jumped on Houston from -3.5 to -7. Remember, today’s first lines are known as – Lookahead Lines – which are released before the previous game is played. The more accurate line is what you will find Sunday night after both teams have played. The Bears had 148 yards of offense against Tennessee and only won because of their special teams, forcing turnovers and Will Levis making brutal mistakes. The question is how will Williams react on the road?

Early Bet Percentage: Houston 90%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

NFL – (291) Atlanta at (292) Philadelphia -6.5
Monday, September 16 – 8:15 p.m. ET / ESPN

For those who wondered why Atlanta drafted a quarterback early back in April, we saw why. Kirk Cousins is not close to 100% healthy from his Achilles injury last season, you saw firsthand that he tried to not put much weight on the leg and his follow-through is designed to push off the opposite leg, and that has reduced his velocity. With the Eagles’ offense looking crisp in Brazil, Philadelphia has flown from -4 to -6.5 in this battle of the Birds.

Early Bet Percentage: Philadelphia 88%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Get more NFL  and college football lines moves, free picks, and betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.

Note: When line moves occur, two aspects drive the numbers to go in different directions from where they started. There has either been a substantial amount of wagers and money to push the oddsmaker’s original release or highly respected bets have been placed by sharp bettor(s).